Worrying news just in, an expert has warned that the UK could be looking at around 50,000 new COVID-19 cases a day by October.
The British government’s chief scientific adviser, Sir Patrick Vallance said that not only would we be witnessing 50,000 new cases a day, but also ‘about 200 deaths per day’.
Yesterday there were almost 4,000 new daily cases in the UK but it continues to go up.
The Whitty / Vallance briefing is under way. This is their key slide: modelling says if the virus’s current contagion trajectory continues, we will hit almost 50,000 new cases a day in 4 weeks time. Today we’re at 4,000. pic.twitter.com/uVYXZNRhOB— Tom Newton Dunn (@tnewtondunn) September 21, 2020
Speaking at Downing Street alongside chief medical adviser, Prof Chris Whitty, Sir Patrick, said that his analysis was not a prediction.
More specifically he said:
At the moment we think the epidemic is doubling roughly every seven days.
If, and that’s quite a big if, but if that continues unabated, and this grows, doubling every seven days… if that continued you would end up with something like 50,000 cases in the middle of October per day.
Fifty-thousand cases per day would be expected to lead a month later, so the middle of November say, to 200-plus deaths per day.
The challenge, therefore, is to make sure the doubling time does not stay at seven days.
That requires speed, it requires action and it requires enough in order to be able to bring that down.
“The epidemic is doubling roughly every seven days”— BBC News (UK) (@BBCNews) September 21, 2020
UK's chief scientific adviser Sir Patrick Vallance warns if this continues, by mid-October we could see 50,000 Covid-19 cases per day
Updates: https://t.co/SkVICdxcQR pic.twitter.com/K5SyO3UnQw